With finishes of 4th and 2nd, for us Saturday was a better day at the races.
While ETNZ stumbled a bit with a 2nd and 5th (having run 8th for much of the second race), Alinghi and Luna Rossa topped the field each scoring a 1st and 3rd. The "Big Four" are back on top of the show, along with a steadily improving Mascalzone Latino.
Too bad for China Team, who suffered structural problems with their CHN 79 in yesterday's second race, forcing them to retire on leg one. Reportedly they will be a no-show today.
A quick Act 11 scoreboard (position/team/points -- 12 points for a win, 11 for second, etc):
1 SUI 41
2 ITA/LR 36
3 NZL 34
4 ITA/ML 31
4 USA 31
6 RSA 28
7 FRA 26
8 ITA/39 24
9 SWE 22
9 ESP 22
11 GER 10
12 CHN 6
Alinghi probably have a lock on Act 11, though it's going to be light again at race time and that could jumble the fleet as it did on Friday. Regardless, Alinghi is of little concern to us and the other Challengers -- though it will be interesting to see if they try to place themselves in today's finishing order to help and/or hinder certain Challengers.
More important for us is finishing Act 11 still on top of the Challenger LV Rankings. Going into Act 11 we led the LV Rankings:
USA 85
NZL 81
ITA/LR 78
At the end of Act 11 the top Challenger will pick up 22 LV Ranking points (remember that these 2006 Acts count double), second place 20 points and third 18 points, etc.
Assuming we beat Mascalzone today and end 4th overall for Act 11 (not a given -- ITA/ML are sailing fast and well), and assuming Luna Rossa stays on 2nd overall and NZL on 3rd, the LV points at the end of Act 11 will read:
USA 103
NZL 101
ITA/LR 100
If NZL beat ITA/LR today by more than two boats thereby finishing ahead of ITA/LR in Act 11 (and we beat ITA/ML in Act 11 but not ITA/LR), then we would be tied with NZL with 103 LV points with ITA/LR in third on 98 points.
Our mission today will be to climb to second overall in Act 11 finishing six places higher than ITA/LR and four places higher than NZL -- a big ask. Have compared notes with our diligent Rules Advisor, Richard Slater (AUS), and he points out a few other combinations and permutations involving tie-breaking which, as you will know from Act 10, is a bit complicated and confusing.
Regardless how it goes today, after Act 11 it's going to be tight at the top of the LV Rankings with only two Acts to go -- the Act 12 match racing regatta next month, then the "triple-counting" Act 13 fleet race regatta next April from which the top Challenger will score 33 LV Ranking points, second Challenger 30 points, third 27, etc.
At the end of Act 13, the Challenger with the most LV Ranking points will carry four bonus points (worth two wins) into the Louis Vuitton Cup double round robin, which begins 18 April 2007. Challengers standing 2nd, 3rd and 4th will carry three bonus points each. Doesn't sound like much? Well, just do the math and then recall that only the top four boats advance out of the round robin to the LVC semi-finals. The other seven go home. The Challengers will be fighting for every possible LV Ranking point in Acts 12 and 13, as we will be today.
So, once again our work is cut out for us. Beddow is saying it will be another light seabreeze with only 6-10 kts at show time (14:00), possibly a bit more (8-13kts) by 16:00. However, by then Race Five will likely be over and Act 11 history.
In the light, and as we saw on Friday, it's anybody's race to win, place or show -- or tank.
One day at a time, but with each passing day time becomes more precious -- and important.
